Equal-weighted average of all active fictional companies.
The simulation steers toward about 10% annualized growth over four simulated years.
Simulated Year 3, Week 21
The Spectacular 500 is designed to end near a 10% average annual return, but the ride will not be smooth. Students should compare their portfolio to the index to see whether their decisions are beating the broad market or simply rising because the overall market is rising.
| Turn | Simulated Time | Regime | Index | Target | Market Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Simulated Year 3, Week 21 | Strong rally | 1,102.87 | 1,101.00 | 2.02% |
| 47 | Simulated Year 3, Week 19 | Strong rally | 1,080.99 | 1,092.19 | 1.92% |
| 46 | Simulated Year 3, Week 16 | Strong rally | 1,060.57 | 1,083.45 | -1.41% |
| 45 | Simulated Year 3, Week 13 | Strong rally | 1,075.70 | 1,074.78 | -3.88% |
| 44 | Simulated Year 3, Week 11 | Strong rally | 1,106.97 | 1,066.18 | -2.34% |
| 43 | Simulated Year 3, Week 8 | Strong rally | 1,133.52 | 1,057.64 | -0.02% |
| 42 | Simulated Year 3, Week 6 | Strong rally | 1,131.05 | 1,049.18 | 7.42% |
| 41 | Simulated Year 3, Week 3 | Strong rally | 1,043.32 | 1,040.78 | 6.07% |
| 40 | Simulated Year 2, Week 52 | Steady growth | 968.55 | 1,032.45 | 7.04% |
| 39 | Simulated Year 2, Week 50 | Steady growth | 933.34 | 1,028.20 | -5.08% |
| 38 | Simulated Year 2, Week 47 | Steady growth | 1,114.59 | 1,023.98 | -3.83% |
| 37 | Simulated Year 2, Week 45 | Steady growth | 1,161.80 | 1,019.77 | -4.38% |
| 36 | Simulated Year 2, Week 42 | Steady growth | 1,146.55 | 1,015.57 | -2.65% |
| 35 | Simulated Year 2, Week 39 | Steady growth | 1,031.41 | 1,011.40 | 8.12% |
| 34 | Simulated Year 2, Week 37 | Steady growth | 899.40 | 1,007.24 | 2.33% |
| 33 | Simulated Year 2, Week 34 | Steady growth | 913.12 | 1,003.10 | 3.41% |
| 32 | Simulated Year 2, Week 32 | Steady growth | 965.23 | 998.97 | -5.00% |
| 31 | Simulated Year 2, Week 29 | Steady growth | 1,024.04 | 994.86 | -8.01% |
| 30 | Simulated Year 2, Week 26 | Steady growth | 1,123.16 | 990.77 | -6.58% |
| 29 | Simulated Year 2, Week 24 | Steady growth | 1,102.38 | 986.70 | 2.34% |
| 28 | Simulated Year 2, Week 21 | Steady growth | 915.06 | 982.64 | 0.74% |
| 27 | Simulated Year 2, Week 19 | Steady growth | 931.29 | 978.60 | -0.85% |
| 26 | Simulated Year 2, Week 16 | Steady growth | 955.58 | 974.58 | -4.81% |
| 25 | Simulated Year 2, Week 13 | Steady growth | 1,046.41 | 970.57 | 1.36% |
| 24 | Simulated Year 2, Week 11 | Steady growth | 998.89 | 966.58 | 1.71% |
| 23 | Simulated Year 2, Week 8 | Steady growth | 905.44 | 962.61 | 1.42% |
| 22 | Simulated Year 2, Week 6 | Steady growth | 911.31 | 958.65 | 3.90% |
| 21 | Simulated Year 2, Week 3 | Steady growth | 894.90 | 954.71 | -3.69% |
| 20 | Simulated Year 1, Week 52 | Flat market | 992.43 | 950.78 | 2.68% |
| 19 | Simulated Year 1, Week 50 | Flat market | 942.07 | 953.18 | -0.84% |
| 18 | Simulated Year 1, Week 47 | Flat market | 932.12 | 955.59 | -3.35% |
| 17 | Simulated Year 1, Week 45 | Flat market | 966.64 | 958.01 | 6.87% |
| 16 | Simulated Year 1, Week 42 | Flat market | 888.76 | 960.43 | -3.05% |
| 15 | Simulated Year 1, Week 39 | Fast correction | 1,034.71 | 1,074.10 | -5.72% |
| 14 | Simulated Year 1, Week 37 | Fast correction | 1,198.46 | 1,068.99 | 6.32% |
| 13 | Simulated Year 1, Week 34 | Innovation surge | 1,629.48 | 1,063.91 | 0.62% |
| 12 | Simulated Year 1, Week 32 | Innovation surge | 1,529.02 | 1,058.85 | 2.68% |
| 11 | Simulated Year 1, Week 29 | Innovation surge | 1,402.39 | 1,053.82 | 0.88% |
| 10 | Simulated Year 1, Week 26 | Innovation surge | 1,315.02 | 1,048.81 | 1.19% |
| 9 | Simulated Year 1, Week 24 | Innovation surge | 1,252.09 | 1,043.82 | 2.97% |
| 8 | Simulated Year 1, Week 21 | Early optimism | 1,170.94 | 1,038.86 | 0.59% |
| 7 | Simulated Year 1, Week 19 | Early optimism | 1,150.94 | 1,033.92 | 0.00% |
| 6 | Simulated Year 1, Week 16 | Early optimism | 1,138.46 | 1,029.01 | 0.34% |
| 5 | Simulated Year 1, Week 13 | Early optimism | 1,120.43 | 1,024.11 | -0.48% |
| 4 | Simulated Year 1, Week 11 | Early optimism | 1,115.15 | 1,019.24 | 0.69% |
| 3 | Simulated Year 1, Week 8 | Early optimism | 1,090.03 | 1,014.40 | 0.32% |
| 2 | Simulated Year 1, Week 6 | Early optimism | 1,062.90 | 1,009.58 | 1.33% |
| 1 | Simulated Year 1, Week 3 | Early optimism | 1,026.75 | 1,004.78 | 1.43% |
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